[Eoas-seminar] MET Seminar Tuesday October 7 @ 3 PM - Dr. Jayasankar CB (COAPS)

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Wed Oct 1 14:13:40 EDT 2025


All,

Please join us for our next Meteorology seminar next Tuesday October 7 at 3 PM, given by Dr. Jayasankar CB<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.coaps.fsu.edu%2Fjayasankar-c-b&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7Cd5bec8ad6bd24bd4887d08de011643e5%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638949392290938873%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=D%2ByLhSjAyD3AAWaF%2BInqVN%2BGT7xa%2FuoLZngGihgvLbg%3D&reserved=0>, a Postdoctoral Fellow at COAPS. His presentation will be "Future Projections of Precipitation Extremes over Florida Using Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP6 CESM2 Model” (abstract below)

The speaker will present remotely but we will gather together in EOA 1044 to listen together. If you would like to meet with the speaker on Zoom, please contact Chris Holmes (cdholmes at fsu.edu<mailto:cdholmes at fsu.edu>).

DATE: Tuesday October 7
TIME: 3-4 PM, please join early for refreshments
LOCATION:  EOA 1044 (speaker remote)
SPEAKER: Dr. Jayasankar CB<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.coaps.fsu.edu%2Fjayasankar-c-b&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7Cd5bec8ad6bd24bd4887d08de011643e5%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638949392290967633%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=HTtG%2FdNI8oXJqv5t9VBVBBzbW%2F7u52NoR%2FuLIEmuq2w%3D&reserved=0>

TITLE: Future Projections of Precipitation Extremes over Florida Using Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP6 CESM2 Model

ABSTRACT: We investigate future precipitation extremes over Florida using a high-resolution (10 km) Regional Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model (RSM–ROMS) dynamically downscaled from the CMIP6 CESM2 model. The simulation covers the historical period (1985–2014) and a future projection (2071–2100) under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Evaluation of present-day simulation against observations shows that the RSM-ROMS captures key mesoscale features and improves the summer rainfall seasonal cycle compared to CESM2, though a dry bias persists over adjacent oceans. Building on prior successful validation with CMIP5's CCSM4, this RCM provides the first high-resolution, CMIP6-forced regional coupled simulation for Florida. In addition, the analysis shows that the RSM–ROMS simulations are consistent with ensembles of 23 CMIP6 global models and their statistically downscaled NEX-GDDP counterparts. Together, these analyses highlight the added value of high-resolution coupled downscaling for assessing projected changes in extreme rainfall events over Florida.

We look forward to seeing you there!




Christopher D. Holmes, PhD

Associate Professor of Meteorology and Environmental Science
Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science

Florida State University



EOAS Room 6091
phone: 850-645-0972

https://acgc.eoas.fsu.edu<https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__acgc.eoas.fsu.edu&d=DwMGaQ&c=WO-RGvefibhHBZq3fL85hQ&r=XTJBopAzwSsAgEljIk6g1TdJEZxb_bVLEjVNpBxfBIw&m=IFh98_0Q-hq9C6UPKlz1O2oYuFtabQ2LN0jxIH-X7AQ&s=d8jPLlmUtu_QrD1LcbyyE-FZh1aFEJlOVC9jA9pb4Ug&e=>



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