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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">All,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">Please join us for our next<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><span class="outlook-search-highlight">Met</span>eorology<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><span class="outlook-search-highlight">seminar</span><span class="apple-converted-space"> </span>next
Tuesday October 7 at 3 PM, given by<span class="apple-converted-space"> <a href="https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.coaps.fsu.edu%2Fjayasankar-c-b&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7Cd5bec8ad6bd24bd4887d08de011643e5%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638949392290938873%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=D%2ByLhSjAyD3AAWaF%2BInqVN%2BGT7xa%2FuoLZngGihgvLbg%3D&reserved=0" originalsrc="https://www.coaps.fsu.edu/jayasankar-c-b">Dr.
Jayasankar CB</a></span>, a Postdoctoral Fellow at COAPS. His presentation will be "<i><span style="background:white">Future Projections of Precipitation Extremes over Florida Using Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP6 CESM2 Model</span></i>” (abstract below)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">The speaker will present remotely but we will gather together in EOA 1044 to listen together. If you would like to meet with the speaker on Zoom, please contact Chris Holmes (<a href="mailto:cdholmes@fsu.edu">cdholmes@fsu.edu</a>).<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">DATE: Tuesday October 7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">TIME: 3-4 PM, please join early for refreshments<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">LOCATION: EOA 1044 (speaker remote)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">SPEAKER:<span class="apple-converted-space"> <a href="https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.coaps.fsu.edu%2Fjayasankar-c-b&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7Cd5bec8ad6bd24bd4887d08de011643e5%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638949392290967633%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=HTtG%2FdNI8oXJqv5t9VBVBBzbW%2F7u52NoR%2FuLIEmuq2w%3D&reserved=0" originalsrc="https://www.coaps.fsu.edu/jayasankar-c-b">Dr.
Jayasankar CB</a></span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">TITLE:<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><i><span style="background:white">Future Projections of Precipitation Extremes over Florida Using Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP6
CESM2 Model</span></i><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">ABSTRACT:
<span style="background:white">We investigate future precipitation extremes over Florida using a high-resolution (10 km) Regional Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model (RSM–ROMS) dynamically downscaled from the CMIP6 CESM2 model. The simulation covers the historical
period (1985–2014) and a future projection (2071–2100) under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Evaluation of present-day simulation against observations shows that the RSM-ROMS captures key mesoscale features and improves the summer rainfall seasonal cycle compared to
CESM2, though a dry bias persists over adjacent oceans. Building on prior successful validation with CMIP5's CCSM4, this RCM provides the first high-resolution, CMIP6-forced regional coupled simulation for Florida. In addition, the analysis shows that the
RSM–ROMS simulations are consistent with ensembles of 23 CMIP6 global models and their statistically downscaled NEX-GDDP counterparts. Together, these analyses highlight the added value of high-resolution coupled downscaling for assessing projected changes
in extreme rainfall events over Florida.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;color:black">We look forward to seeing you there!<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none">Christopher D. Holmes, PhD</span><span style="font-family:"MS Mincho";color:black;mso-ligatures:none">
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none">Associate Professor of Meteorology and Environmental Science</span><span style="color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none">Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science</span><span style="font-family:"MS Mincho";color:black;mso-ligatures:none">
</span><span style="color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none">Florida State University</span><span style="font-family:"MS Mincho";color:black;mso-ligatures:none">
</span><span style="color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none">EOAS Room 6091</span><span style="color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none">phone: 850-645-0972</span><span style="color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__acgc.eoas.fsu.edu&d=DwMGaQ&c=WO-RGvefibhHBZq3fL85hQ&r=XTJBopAzwSsAgEljIk6g1TdJEZxb_bVLEjVNpBxfBIw&m=IFh98_0Q-hq9C6UPKlz1O2oYuFtabQ2LN0jxIH-X7AQ&s=d8jPLlmUtu_QrD1LcbyyE-FZh1aFEJlOVC9jA9pb4Ug&e="><span style="color:#954F72">https://acgc.eoas.fsu.edu</span></a></span><span style="color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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