[Eoas-seminar] MET seminar - Tuesday Nov 12 - Dr. Johannes Mülmenstädt

[eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu]

Hi all,

Just a reminder that Dr. Johannes Mülmenstädt will be joining us virtually from PNNL for this afternoon's MET seminar.

Hope to see you there!
Michael


--

DATE: Tuesday November 12

TIME: 3 PM

LOCATION: EOAS 1044 & Zoom (https://fsu.zoom.us/j/91642333812<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffsu.zoom.us%2Fj%2F91642333812&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7C813708fdc8314898829308dd0319f1e1%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638670132140784072%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=5X7hH1fKDwAXqZOAa3x4wPY3tAkVDBxZRrd0Ye6xR%2BQ%3D&reserved=0>)

SPEAKER: Dr. Johannes Mülmenstädt<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pnnl.gov%2Fscience%2Fstaff%2Fstaff_info.asp%3Fstaff_num%3D10001&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7C813708fdc8314898829308dd0319f1e1%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638670132140784072%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=VteLm347Hv4lx%2FOzptUkLnwoK6nS0WB%2FsP%2Fmkvi2Q5w%3D&reserved=0>

AFFILIATION: PNNL



TITLE: Wrestling and embracing uncertainty in clouds, aerosols, and climate: a search for balance



ABSTRACT: Predicting future climate, especially over the next few decades, is plagued by our uncertainty about the response of the physical climate to anthropogenic perturbations.  All adverse consequences of climate change rise and fall with the global energy budget, so a necessary first step (before we can predict regional change and regional probability of extreme weather) is to beat down the uncertainty on the global energy budget as much as we can.  Reducing uncertainty has proven surprisingly difficult for a large number of reasons, but one thing links many of them: forces acting in opposite directions.  This is true for the anthropogenic forcing of the climate, which is the net of a warming (greenhouse-gas) and a cooling (aerosols) component; physical mechanisms contributing to the forcing (e.g., precipitation and evaporation responses in clouds); different lines of evidence (global models, observations, process models, and theoretical understanding) that do not always agree; and scientific methods, which are torn between making the measurements and building the models that are possible rather than the measurements and models that would reduce climate uncertainty.  In this talk, I will give examples from the aerosol-cloud world of the uncertainties caused by these opposing forces.  I will point at ways we could embrace, rather than wrestle with, uncertainty and use it to point out where we need to understand the climate at a deeper level.


HOST: Dr. Michael Diamond



--
Dr. Michael S. Diamond
Assistant Professor of Meteorology
https://diamondclimate.wordpress.com/<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdiamondclimate.wordpress.com%2F&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7C813708fdc8314898829308dd0319f1e1%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638670132140784072%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=oBALgwVjBDhtHc3lttXzV%2BKKfMTtmN9%2B11xImvvCdkY%3D&reserved=0>
[https://artsandsciences.fsu.edu/sites/g/files/upcbnu321/files/email-lockups/Earth%20Ocean%20and%20Atmospheric%20Science%20signature.png]

________________________________
From: Michael Diamond <msdiamond at fsu.edu>
Sent: Friday, November 8, 2024 12:45 PM
To: eoas-seminar--- via Eoas-seminar <eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu>
Subject: MET seminar - Tuesday Nov 12 - Dr. Johannes Mülmenstädt


Hi all,


Our next Meteorology seminar will be on Tuesday, November 12 at 3pm. Please join us for a talk by Dr. Johannes Mülmenstädt, who will be joining us virtually from the DOE's Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.



If you would like to schedule an individual meeting with Dr. Mülmenstädt, please contact me at msdiamond at fsu.edu with the times of your availability on the day of the seminar.


Looking forward to seeing many of you there!

Michael


--

DATE: Tuesday November 12

TIME: 3 PM

LOCATION: EOAS 1044 & Zoom (https://fsu.zoom.us/j/91642333812<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffsu.zoom.us%2Fj%2F91642333812&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7C813708fdc8314898829308dd0319f1e1%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638670132140940327%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=MdkOnOYVCJvJ9FTN4hBbP0WoYz9oIwwLoojZpZRLghA%3D&reserved=0>)

SPEAKER: Dr. Johannes Mülmenstädt<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pnnl.gov%2Fscience%2Fstaff%2Fstaff_info.asp%3Fstaff_num%3D10001&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7C813708fdc8314898829308dd0319f1e1%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638670132140940327%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=weAjbX%2B138UUE6i5c%2FQlSM8YkUIAcJvg0QtMyh6s5bU%3D&reserved=0>

AFFILIATION: PNNL



TITLE: Wrestling and embracing uncertainty in clouds, aerosols, and climate: a search for balance



ABSTRACT: Predicting future climate, especially over the next few decades, is plagued by our uncertainty about the response of the physical climate to anthropogenic perturbations.  All adverse consequences of climate change rise and fall with the global energy budget, so a necessary first step (before we can predict regional change and regional probability of extreme weather) is to beat down the uncertainty on the global energy budget as much as we can.  Reducing uncertainty has proven surprisingly difficult for a large number of reasons, but one thing links many of them: forces acting in opposite directions.  This is true for the anthropogenic forcing of the climate, which is the net of a warming (greenhouse-gas) and a cooling (aerosols) component; physical mechanisms contributing to the forcing (e.g., precipitation and evaporation responses in clouds); different lines of evidence (global models, observations, process models, and theoretical understanding) that do not always agree; and scientific methods, which are torn between making the measurements and building the models that are possible rather than the measurements and models that would reduce climate uncertainty.  In this talk, I will give examples from the aerosol-cloud world of the uncertainties caused by these opposing forces.  I will point at ways we could embrace, rather than wrestle with, uncertainty and use it to point out where we need to understand the climate at a deeper level.


HOST: Dr. Michael Diamond


--
Dr. Michael S. Diamond
Assistant Professor of Meteorology
https://diamondclimate.wordpress.com/<https://nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdiamondclimate.wordpress.com%2F&data=05%7C02%7Ceoas-seminar%40lists.fsu.edu%7C813708fdc8314898829308dd0319f1e1%7Ca36450ebdb0642a78d1b026719f701e3%7C0%7C0%7C638670132140940327%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=wQO4vH7E0Q5Az8%2Bap0JlZCOHJ8sQb%2BbXkToxs4cFBSA%3D&reserved=0>
[https://artsandsciences.fsu.edu/sites/g/files/upcbnu321/files/email-lockups/Earth%20Ocean%20and%20Atmospheric%20Science%20signature.png]
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