[Eoas-seminar] MET Seminar Series, Thursday, Oct. 22 at 3:30 PM

eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu
Mon Oct 19 11:21:51 EDT 2020


Hi colleagues,

This week, MET seminar series will have Dr. Jane Baldwin of Columbia University to give a talk on tropical cyclone risk. The title, abstract, and Zoom Link are given as the following and in the attached flyer:

Title:
Understanding Tropical Cyclone Risk: from Mountain Drivers to Economic Impacts

Abstract:
Over the past decade, multiple methods to model tropical cyclones have neared maturity. State-of-the-art global climate models (GCMs) now reach resolutions of 25-50 km in the atmosphere, permitting the simulation of realistic tropical cyclone intensities and tracks. Additionally, statistical-dynamical tropical cyclone models now allow the computationally cheap simulation of many physically plausible tropical cyclones. I will describe recent and ongoing research using these methods to both better understand the drivers of tropical cyclones in different ocean basins, and determine the risks to human society from these extreme events. I will first discuss work using the GCM GFDL CM2.5-FLOR to understand the influence of two different orographic features on the regional climatology of tropical cyclones: 1) the Tibetan Plateau (and related mountains) on the western north Pacific, and 2) the topography of Central America on the eastern tropical Pacific. I will demonstrate the importance of rigorously considering atmosphere-ocean coupling in such analyses, and argue that a relatively small orographic feature can have an outsize climatic influence contingent on its placement relative to the larger-scale circulation. Next I will introduce ongoing work in collaboration with World Bank economists to improve disaster risk assessment using Columbia’s statistical-dynamical tropical cyclone model. I will highlight both challenges and significant opportunities in such hazard to impact modeling.

Zoom Link:
https://fsu.zoom.us/s/94856469533

There will be a "meet the speaker" at 3:00 PM and a speaker-student session immediately following the seminar. Please join us to enjoy Jane's seminar.

Best,

Zhaohua


More Zoom Link Information:

Phone one-tap
Phone one-tap: US: +13126266799,,94856469533# or +16465588656,,94856469533#
Join by Telephone
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Meeting ID: 948 5646 9533
International numbers
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Meeting ID: 948 5646 9533
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