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Dear all,
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<div>This is a reminder of the Meteorology seminar TODAY given by Prof. Hristo Chipilski who will speak about "<i>Data Assimilation Meets AI: New Horizons for Earth System Modeling”. </i></div>
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<div>Prof. Chipilski will be joining us in person in 1044, but i<span style="caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">f you cannot attend in person due to a medical reason or approved work off campus, please contact Allison Wing (</span><a href="mailto:awing@fsu.edu">awing@fsu.edu</a><span style="caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">)
for remote access.</span></div>
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<div><span style="caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Refreshments at 3, talk at 3:15.</span></div>
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<div><span style="caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Cheers, </span></div>
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<div><span style="caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Allison</span></div>
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Allison A. Wing, Ph.D.</div>
<div>Werner A. and Shirley B. Baum Professor<br>
Associate Professor, Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science<br>
Florida State University<br>
awing@fsu.edu</div>
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<div>On Sep 15, 2023, at 8:00 AM, eoas-seminar--- via Eoas-seminar <eoas-seminar@lists.fsu.edu> wrote:</div>
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Dear all,
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<div>Please join us next <b>Thursday September 21 </b>for a Meteorology seminar, given by Prof. Hristo Chipilski of FSU’s Department of Scientific Computing. Prof. Chipilski will speak about “<i>Data Assimilation Meets AI: New Horizons for Earth System Modeling</i><i>”. </i> (abstract
below) </div>
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<div>Prof. Chipilski will be joining us in person in 1044. <b style="font-size: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial;">If you are interested in meeting with the speaker, please contact Allison Wing (<a href="mailto:awing@fsu.edu">awing@fsu.edu</a>). </b></div>
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<div><span style="font-size: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial;">**Graduate students, please contact Allison Wing if you would like to join a pizza lunch with the speaker at 12 PM.** </span></div>
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<div><b>DATE:</b><span> Thursday September 21</span><br>
<b>SEMINAR TIME:</b><span> Refreshments at 3 PM, Talk 3:15 PM - 4:15 PM. </span><br>
<b>SEMINAR LOCATION:</b><span> EOA 1044 (Speaker in person)</span><br>
<b>SPEAKER: </b>Prof. Hristo Chipilski<br>
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<span><b>TITLE: </b><i>Data Assimilation Meets AI: New Horizons for Earth System Modeling</i></span><i><br>
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<b>ABSTRACT: </b></div>
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Our understanding of the Earth system hinges on the effective use of observations and numerical models. However, each comes with its own set of limitations: observations provide an incomplete description of the physical state, while numerical models can deviate
from reality due to their inherent simplifications. The field of data assimilation (DA) reconciles these problems by merging observations and models in a statistically optimal way. Despite their numerous advantages, traditional DA methods are derived from
crude statistical assumptions which do not allow them to make full use of the available observations.</div>
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<div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;">In this seminar, I will elucidate these limitations through convective-scale simulations initialized with ground-based remote sensing retrievals. For a DA system based on the popular ensemble
Kalman filter (EnKF), I will demonstrate that systematic improvements in the forecast skill occur only when assimilating measurements that capture both the thermodynamic and kinematic characteristics of the lower atmosphere. Motivated by this finding, I will
then present a new ensemble-based DA framework which combines traditional estimation methods and emerging AI tools. The new theory leverages the special mathematical properties of invertible neural networks to generalize the EnKF algorithm to arbitrarily complex
distributions. Idealized experiments reveal that the most substantial gains from the new DA framework occur when observation errors are small and model variables are strongly correlated.</div>
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<div><span style="font-size: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial;">We look forward to seeing you there!</span></div>
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Allison Wing, Ph.D.<br>
Werner A. and Shirley B. Baum Professor<br>
Associate Professor, Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science<br>
Florida State University<br>
awing@fsu.edu</div>
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