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<font face="Times New Roman, Times, serif">These talks are usually
scheduled for the first Monday of each month. The first talk
normally starts at 11:00AM. Each talk is typically 12 minutes
long (similar to many professional meetings), with 8 minutes for
questions.</font><br>
<p><font face="Times New Roman, Times, serif">These talks will be
presented via Zoom, with the following connection information:</font><br>
</p>
<font face="Times New Roman, Times, serif"> </font><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://fsu.zoom.us/j/98491660566?pwd=NzBxNzN4LzdsbSs4R3B6RzliOGhhdz09" moz-do-not-send="true">https://fsu.zoom.us/j/98491660566?pwd=NzBxNzN4LzdsbSs4R3B6RzliOGhhdz09</a><br>
<br>
Meeting ID: 984 9166 0566<br>
<p> Passcode: 478314</p>
<p>Sept. 12th:</p>
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<p>Ethan Wright: A Comparison of Scatterometer Wind Derivative
Calculation Methods</p>
<p>Description: Spatial wind derivatives, such as vorticity and
divergence, are important variables used to characterize low-level
atmospheric flow and spatial derivatives of wind stress are
fundamentally important for ocean forcing. Scatterometer swath
winds are one of the only sources available for calculating
spatial wind derivatives from satellites. However, the methods
used to calculate the derivatives have varied between different
studies and the assumptions used with different calculation
methods can have important implications for the features that are
resolved in the derivative fields. This talk gives a comparison of
the different methods to calculate wind derivatives from orbital
swath winds. </p>
<p>David Zierden: Current Climate Conditions in the Southeast and
Outlook for the Fall and Winter</p>
<p>Description: The presentation will begin with a season-to-date
review of the Atlantic hurricane season. This will include a look
at the seasonal forecasts, the lull in activity in July and
August, and some of the reasons for this lack of activity. The
second part of the presentation will assess the current state of
ENSO and the high likelihood of a third year of La Nina
conditions. ENSO variability plays a large role in modulating the
patterns of precipitation and temperature across the Southeast
during the fall and winter months and has significant impacts on
agriculture and water resources. This is a major factor in
seasonal climate outlooks. </p>
<p>Xu Chen: <span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:"Times
New Roman",serif;font-size:medium;text-align:justify">Modeling
the transport of oyster larvae from spawning areas to suitable
juvenile habitat (settlement zones) in Apalachicola Bay, Florida</span></p>
Description: Based on an offline Lagrangian model (FISCM), an oyster
larvae model was developed to study the transport of oyster larvae
from spawning areas to suitable juvenile habitat (settlement zones)
in Apalachicola Bay, Florida. Velocity fields from FVCOM outputs
were used to drive the Lagrangian advection. The vertical random
walk proposed by Visser (1997) is used for calculating the effect of
vertical diffusivity. In this experiment, more than 1 million
Lagrangian floats were released between May 1 and May 31, 2012, at
the frequency of 10504 floats per 6 hours and the simulation ran for
50 days. These floats are released at oyster habitat sites in
Apalachicola Bay, Alligator Harbor, and Ochlockonee Bay. In this
model, one float represents a group of oyster larvae, and 100% of
the larvae in the group are considered alive when the float is
released. If this larvae group is surrounded by salinity between 6
ppt and 27 ppt and temperature between 5 oC and 32 oC, the
percentage of alive larvae will not change. However, if the float is
surrounded by water out of the normal ranges of salinity and
temperature as depicted above, 95% of the larvae in the group will
die in 1 week. Each float (oyster larvae group) has a liberty period
of 20 days before settling, and a successful settling can be
achieved only when the float meets more than one oyster habitat
region. This talk will present some preliminary results of the
oyster larvae model.<br>
<p>Oct. 3rd:</p>
<p>Kyra Britton: <span style="font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">Application
of High-Resolution Winter Seasonal Climate Forecasts for
Streamflow Prediction in Central Florida</span> </p>
<p><span style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif;
background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);">Description: Current global
climate models typically run at a resolution of 100 km, which is
too coarse to adequately resolve the coastlines and watersheds
of Florida. Previous researchers created a reforecast of five
environmental variables for a period of 22 years by dynamically
downscaling a global model, thus giving more accurate regional
data for temperature, evaporation, surface and root level soil
moisture, and surface temperature. In this project, I attempt to
define the relationship between these five reforecasted
variables and the streamflow of several watersheds in Central
Florida using statistical techniques, with the end goal of
creating a streamflow forecast that will assist water utility
managers in decision making</span></p>
<h4><span style="font-weight: normal;">Xiaobiao Xu:</span></h4>
<p>Mark Bourassa: Current-Related Air-Sea Coupling<br>
</p>
<p>Nov. 7th</p>
<p>Joanna Rodgers: TBA</p>
<p>TBA:TBA</p>
<p>TBA:TBA<br>
</p>
<p>Dec. 5th</p>
<p>Carly Narotsky: TBA</p>
<p>TBA: TBA</p>
<p>Shawn Smith: The MarineFlux project<br>
</p>
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