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<font face="Adobe Devanagari">Just a reminder of today's diss dfns
for John Uehling at 3:30PM. The event will stream via Zoom:<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://fsu.zoom.us/j/97017061069">https://fsu.zoom.us/j/97017061069</a><br>
<br>
Please remember to visit the <a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://www.eoas.fsu.edu/calendar/">calendar</a> for full
and updated info.<br>
<br>
Diss Dfns--John Uehling<br>
Rm is reserved from 3:05 PM to 6:05 PM; defense begins at 3:30 PM<br>
(Zoom Meeting: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://fsu.zoom.us/j/97017061069">https://fsu.zoom.us/j/97017061069</a>) <br>
<br>
MET Dfns entitled "Characterizing the Northern Australian Rainy
season from the large-scale to the local scale in the current and
the future climate"<br>
<br>
Chair: Dr. V. Misra<br>
<br>
Abstract:<br>
The northern Australian rainy season is part of the
Asian-Australian monsoon system and occurs during the Austral
summer across the northern regions of the continent. The
Australian monsoon is responsible for most of the annual rainfall
budget for the region, thus having a comprehensive understanding
of the rainy season is of vital importance for socio-economic and
environmental considerations.<br>
<br>
To gain a complete picture of the Australian rainy season, which
mostly overlaps with the monsoon season, it is important to have a
robust definition of the rainy season. In this dissertation, we
objectively define onset and demise of the rainy season, locally
(at a given grid point of the observed rainfall analysis) from the
definition of aggregate northern Australian rainy season. This
definition allows to account for the variations of the length of
the rainy season in addition to the variations in the daily rain
rate, which together contribute to the seasonal variability of the
rainfall. We further analyze the variations of the local onset and
demise dates, length and seasonal rainfall anomaly of the northern
Australian rainy season from the intraseasonal to the secular
scales. The results from this study uniquely highlight the spatial
heterogeneity of the seasonal evolution of the rainy season and
its variability.<br>
<br>
This study then examines the fidelity of the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project version 6 (CMIP6) models from their
historical simulations to simulate these observed features. The
analyzed CMIP6 simulations over the northern Australian region
have shown promise that in some of the features of the rainy
season that we identify in this study. For example, the onset and
the demise dates of the rainy season are reasonable and its
association with El Niño and the Southern Oscillation is also
verifiable. The CMIP6 model projections for Shared Socio-economic
Pathway (SSP126 or green pathway) and the high emission SSP585 (or
fossil-fueled pathway) scenarios towards the end of the 21st
century were independently analyzed to show the impacts of
anthropogenic climate change on the northern Australian region.
Our broad conclusion from this analysis is that the impact of the
anthropogenic change on the northern Australian rainy season is
statistically insignificant. However, it should be noted that
these CMIP6 models displayed poor fidelity in simulating the
observed linear trends of the 20th century northern Australian
rainy season.<br>
<br>
When<br>
Thu Oct 28, 2021 3:30pm – 5pm Eastern Time - New York<br>
Where<br>
RM 1044 EOA<br>
</font><font face="Adobe Devanagari"><br>
<br>
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none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica
Narrow",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Helvetica
Narrow";color:#4A442A;mso-themecolor:background2;
mso-themeshade:64">Tallahassee, FL 32306-4520</span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:Helvetica;color:#4A442A;mso-themecolor:background2;
mso-themeshade:64"><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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