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Dear all,
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<div style="margin:0px">Please use the corrected link below which has the embedded password for Thursday’s MET Seminar at 3:30 PM by <a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://scholar.princeton.edu/jbaldwin/home__;!!PhOWcWs!ksallyZo5jpCfiTjAjj1V9fxFpR4onHcSIusVvahrJFac3Fss6027HPCU1b0$" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable" style="margin:0px">Dr.
Jane Baldwin</a> (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory). </div>
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<div style="margin:0px"><b>Title</b>: </div>
<div style="margin:0px">Understanding Tropical Cyclone Risk: from Mountain Drivers to Economic Impacts</div>
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<div style="margin:0px"><b>Abstract</b>: </div>
<div style="margin:0px">Over the past decade, multiple methods to model tropical cyclones have neared maturity. State-of-the-art global climate models (GCMs) now reach resolutions of 25-50 km in the atmosphere, permitting the simulation of realistic tropical
cyclone intensities and tracks. Additionally, statistical-dynamical tropical cyclone models now allow the computationally cheap simulation of many physically plausible tropical cyclones. I will describe recent and ongoing research using these methods to both
better understand the drivers of tropical cyclones in different ocean basins, and determine the risks to human society from these extreme events. I will first discuss work using the GCM GFDL CM2.5-FLOR to understand the influence of two different orographic
features on the regional climatology of tropical cyclones: 1) the Tibetan Plateau (and related mountains) on the western north Pacific, and 2) the topography of Central America on the eastern tropical Pacific. I will demonstrate the importance of rigorously
considering atmosphere-ocean coupling in such analyses, and argue that a relatively small orographic feature can have an outsize climatic influence contingent on its placement relative to the larger-scale circulation. Next I will introduce ongoing work in
collaboration with World Bank economists to improve disaster risk assessment using Columbia’s statistical-dynamical tropical cyclone model. I will highlight both challenges and significant opportunities in such hazard to impact modeling.</div>
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<div style="margin:0px"><b>*Corrected* Zoom Link: <a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://fsu.zoom.us/j/94856469533?pwd=aWJBalVhNEUwQ0hCdklGcVRnWGJpUT09__;!!PhOWcWs!ksallyZo5jpCfiTjAjj1V9fxFpR4onHcSIusVvahrJFac3Fss6027GOHvzbm$" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable" style="margin:0px">https://fsu.zoom.us/j/94856469533?pwd=aWJBalVhNEUwQ0hCdklGcVRnWGJpUT09</a> </b></div>
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<div style="margin:0px">As Zhaohua mentioned, please join us starting from 3 PM to “meet the speaker” and have informal discussion. </div>
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<div style="margin:0px"><b><font color="#ff2600">GRADUATE STUDENTS:</font> </b>There will be a student Q&A with the speaker to be held immediately following the seminar - so students, please join and stay after the seminar for your chance to talk with Dr. Baldwin
about work/life/career topics. Graduate student Jake Carstens will moderate the student Q&A. </div>
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<div style="margin:0px">The seminar will be recorded if you are unable to attend live, but we hope to see many of you there! If anyone would like to meet with Dr. Baldwin earlier in the day or any time after the seminar, you are welcome to get in touch with
her (<a href="mailto:jbaldwin@ldeo.columbia.edu" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable" style="margin:0px">jbaldwin@ldeo.columbia.edu</a>). </div>
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<div style="margin:0px">Cheers, </div>
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<div style="margin:0px">Allison, Zhaohua, & Philip</div>
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<div style="margin:0px">Future MET Seminars: </div>
<div style="margin:0px"><span style="margin:0px;white-space:pre-wrap;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255)">November 12:
</span><a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.linkedin.com/in/catherine-pomposi-phd-59565023/__;!!PhOWcWs!ksallyZo5jpCfiTjAjj1V9fxFpR4onHcSIusVvahrJFac3Fss6027LpsoeVa$" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable" style="margin:0px">Dr.
Catherine Pomposi</a><span style="margin:0px;white-space:pre-wrap;background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255)"> (USAID): "</span>Understanding recent precipitation variability: from a scientific to a policy and development lens”</div>
<div style="margin:0px">November 19: <a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.winsberg.net/__;!!PhOWcWs!ksallyZo5jpCfiTjAjj1V9fxFpR4onHcSIusVvahrJFac3Fss6027G-R-bTC$" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable" style="margin:0px">Prof.
Eric Winsberg</a> (University of South Florida): "Why study solar radiation management? A case study in the cost of acquiring new evidence”</div>
<div style="margin:0px">December 3: <a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://weathertiger.com/__;!!PhOWcWs!ksallyZo5jpCfiTjAjj1V9fxFpR4onHcSIusVvahrJFac3Fss6027K7zaRnt$" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable" style="margin:0px">Dr.
Ryan Truchelut</a> (WeatherTiger): "<span style="margin:0px;font-family:arial, sans-serif">From the "Weather Guy" to WeatherTiger: </span><font face="arial, sans-serif">Explorations in Scientific Entrepreneurship” </font></div>
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