From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Thu Jan 5 14:26:28 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Thu, 5 Jan 2023 19:26:28 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Fw: Wilton (Tony) Sturges Message-ID: Do we know when will the ceremony be? Thank you. nw -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- An embedded message was scrubbed... From: eoas-seminar--- via Eoas-seminar Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Wilton (Tony) Sturges Date: Tue, 27 Dec 2022 00:21:23 +0000 Size: 14143 URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Thu Jan 5 17:17:56 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Thu, 5 Jan 2023 22:17:56 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Wilton (Tony) Sturges In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: A memorial service will be held at 1:00PM on Tuesday, January 10, 2023, at Holy Comforter Episcopal Church. In lieu of flowers, gifts in memory of Tony may be made to the Holy Comforter Episcopal Church Discretionary Fund (https://www.hc-ec.org ). Rocky Bevis of Bevis Funeral Home (850-385-2193 or www.bevisfh.com) is assisting the Sturges family with their arrangements. From: Eoas-seminar on behalf of eoas-seminar--- via Eoas-seminar Date: Thursday, January 5, 2023 at 4:52 PM To: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Fw: Wilton (Tony) Sturges Do we know when will the ceremony be? Thank you. nw -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Fri Jan 6 14:19:13 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Fri, 6 Jan 2023 19:19:13 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] [Seminar-announce] Scientific Computing Colloquium with Ming Ye Message-ID: "Identify Important and Influential Processes of Complex Environmental Systems under Model and Parametric Uncertainty" Ming Ye Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science (EOAS) Department of Scientific Computing Florida State University NOTE: Please feel free to forward/share this invitation with other groups/disciplines that might be interested in this talk/topic. All are welcome to attend. https://fsu.zoom.us/j/94273595552 Meeting # 942 7359 5552 Wednesday, Jan 11th, 2023, Schedule: * 3:00 to 3:30 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada) Nespresso & Teatime (in 417 DSL Commons) * 3:30 to 4:30 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada) Colloquium - Attend F2F (in 499 DSL) or Virtually (via Zoom) Abstract: Sensitivity analysis is a vital tool in the modeling community to identify important and influential parameters for model development and improvement, and variance-based global sensitivity analysis has gained popularity. However, the conventional global sensitivity indices are defined with consideration of only parametric uncertainty, but not model uncertainty that arises when a system?s process can be represented by multiple conceptual-mathematical models. Multi-model sensitivity analysis has gained increasing attention for advancing our understanding of complex Earth and environmental systems with interacting physical, chemical, and biological processes. Based on a hierarchical structure of parameter and model uncertainties and on recently developed techniques of model averaging, we developed two new process sensitivity indices for identifying important and influential processes. The indices are designed to answer the following question: how can we identify important and influential processes for the explicitly proposed process models and the probabilistically defined random parameters? A computationally efficient algorithm was also developed to reduce computational cost for the indices. To further reduce computational cost, we developed a new global sensitivity analysis method, called multi-model difference-based sensitivity analysis (MMDS), which can screen noninfluential system process from further investigation such as model calibration. In this seminar, I will present the three methods in a context of environmental modeling with numerical implementation and evaluation. The methods are mathematically and computationally general, and can be applied to a wide range of problems of numerical modeling. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: text/calendar Size: 4646 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ SC-Seminar-announce mailing list SC-Seminar-announce at lists.fsu.edu https://lists.fsu.edu/mailman/listinfo/sc-seminar-announce From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Fri Jan 6 18:57:58 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Fri, 6 Jan 2023 18:57:58 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] EOAS Colloquium Fri Jan 13 at 3pm In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Dear EOAS, The first EOAS Colloquium speaker of the Spring semester will be next *Friday, 13 January 2023 at 3 pm in EOA 1050* Host: Angie Knapp - please email to meet with Dr. Conway on Thurs Jan 12 or Fri Jan 13 *Dr. Tim Conway, USF* "New insights for oceanic iron biogeochemistry from iron isotopes: 10+ years of the GEOTRACES Program" Abstract: The micronutrient element iron plays a major role in setting the patterns and distribution of primary production and carbon cycling across the global oceans. As such, understanding the sources, sinks, and internal cycling processes that drive the oceanic distribution of iron is key to unlocking the role of iron in the global ocean and climate system, whether today, in the geologic past, or in the 'anthropogenic' future. In the last decade, stimulated largely by the International GEOTRACES.? Program, dissolved iron isotope analyses of seawater (and source materials) have emerged as a transformative tool for diagnosing iron sources to the ocean, and tracking iron through the ocean. In this talk, I will present an overview of the explosion of new oceanic dissolved iron concentration and isotope data, as well as several case studies that show how iron isotopes have revolutionized our understanding of boundary sources such as atmospheric dust, underwater volcanoes and vents, and marine sediments, and, remarkably, how they also show iron can be carried thousands of kilometers through the ocean. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Sun Jan 8 09:37:10 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Sun, 8 Jan 2023 14:37:10 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] EOAS Colloquium 1/13 Message-ID: Dear EOAS, The first EOAS Colloquium speaker will be next Friday, 13 January 2023 at 3 pm in EOA 1050 Host: Angie Knapp - please email to meet with Dr. Conway on Thurs Jan 12 or Fri Jan 13 Dr. Tim Conway, USF "New insights for oceanic iron biogeochemistry from iron isotopes: 10+ years of the GEOTRACES Program" Abstract: The micronutrient element iron plays a major role in setting the patterns and distribution of primary production and carbon cycling across the global oceans. As such, understanding the sources, sinks, and internal cycling processes that drive the oceanic distribution of iron is key to unlocking the role of iron in the global ocean and climate system, whether today, in the geologic past, or in the 'anthropogenic' future. In the last decade, stimulated largely by the International GEOTRACES Program, dissolved iron isotope analyses of seawater (and source materials) have emerged as a transformative tool for diagnosing iron sources to the ocean, and tracking iron through the ocean. In this talk, I will present an overview of the explosion of new oceanic dissolved iron concentration and isotope data, as well as several case studies that show how iron isotopes have revolutionized our understanding of boundary sources such as atmospheric dust, underwater volcanoes and vents, and marine sediments, and, remarkably, how they also show iron can be carried thousands of kilometers through the ocean. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Thu Jan 12 11:00:35 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Thu, 12 Jan 2023 16:00:35 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] COAPS didactics - Dr. Caroline Muller In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Hello all, We are starting a new seminar series this year at COAPS! The goals of these didactic sessions are to get an overview on a topic, learn something new and start a discussion, in the hopes that these would lead to novel ideas and collaborations. For the month of January, Dr. Caroline Muller (Assistant Professor, Institute of Science and Technology Austria; CNRS researcher) will be speaking about Spontaneous Aggregation of Convective Storms. Time: Jan 24, 2023 10:00 AM EST Join from anywhere on Zoom: https://fsu.zoom.us/j/9206782375 Meeting ID: 920 678 2375 Spontaneous Aggregation of Convective Storms Dr. Caroline Muller Idealized simulations of the tropical atmosphere have predicted that clouds can spontaneously clump together in space, despite perfectly homogeneous settings. This phenomenon has been called self-aggregation, and it results in a state where a moist cloudy region with intense deep convective storms is surrounded by extremely dry subsiding air devoid of deep clouds. Here we review the main findings from theoretical work and idealized models of this phenomenon, highlighting the physical processes believed to play a key role in convective self-aggregation. We also review the growing literature on the importance and implications of this phenomenon for the tropical atmosphere, notably, for the hydrological cycle and for precipitation extremes, in our current and in a warming climate. Best, Keshav J Raja Assistant Research Scientist Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) Florida State University -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: coaps-didactics-Muller.ics Type: text/calendar Size: 2511 bytes Desc: coaps-didactics-Muller.ics URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Fri Jan 13 10:35:03 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Fri, 13 Jan 2023 10:35:03 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Reminder TODAY - Fwd: EOAS Colloquium 1/13 In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Dear EOAS, The first EOAS Colloquium speaker will be TODAY Friday, 13 January 2023 at 3 pm in EOA 1050 Host: Angie Knapp - please email to meet with Dr. Conway Dr. Tim Conway, USF "New insights for oceanic iron biogeochemistry from iron isotopes: 10+ years of the GEOTRACES Program" Abstract: The micronutrient element iron plays a major role in setting the patterns and distribution of primary production and carbon cycling across the global oceans. As such, understanding the sources, sinks, and internal cycling processes that drive the oceanic distribution of iron is key to unlocking the role of iron in the global ocean and climate system, whether today, in the geologic past, or in the 'anthropogenic' future. In the last decade, stimulated largely by the International GEOTRACES Program, dissolved iron isotope analyses of seawater (and source materials) have emerged as a transformative tool for diagnosing iron sources to the ocean, and tracking iron through the ocean. In this talk, I will present an overview of the explosion of new oceanic dissolved iron concentration and isotope data, as well as several case studies that show how iron isotopes have revolutionized our understanding of boundary sources such as atmospheric dust, underwater volcanoes and vents, and marine sediments, and, remarkably, how they also show iron can be carried thousands of kilometers through the ocean. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ Eoas-seminar mailing list Eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu https://lists.fsu.edu/mailman/listinfo/eoas-seminar From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Mon Jan 16 11:26:07 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Mon, 16 Jan 2023 11:26:07 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] EOAS Colloquium Friday Jan 20 at 3pm Message-ID: Please join us for this week's EOAS Colloquium speaker Friday Jan 20 at 3pm in 1050: *Model- and Data-Based Approaches for Identifying Controlling Processes of an Environmental System and my View of Environmental Data Science* ** Dr. Ming Ye (mye at fsu.edu ), Professor Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science and Department of Scientific Computing Florida State University An environmental system is open and complex, and its evolution in space and time involves a large number of natural and anthropogenic processes and their interactions. It is necessary to identify controlling processes and process interactions for advancing our understanding of the environmental system to support science-informed decision-making on environmental protection. This seminar presents both model- and data-based approaches that we have recently developed for identifying controlling processes. The model-based approaches use global sensitivity analyses, and have a unique feature of addressing uncertainty not only in process representations (i.e., process models) but also in process parameters (i.e., process model parameters). The approaches are designed to answer the following question: if we are not certain about process representations and process parameter values, can we identify important or influential processes for developing and improving environmental system models? The model-based approaches are always computational expensive, but can be applied to an environmental system with scarce data. The data-based approaches do not require developing process models, but use data to identify spatio-temporal patterns and the processes that control the patterns. This is achieved in our studies by using cluster analysis (one-way clustering and co-clustering) and /t/-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) methods. An example application will be presented for a dataset of 13,024 groundwater geochemical measurements for 11 geochemical parameters of 1,184 groundwater samples collected over 23 years from 29 monitoring in a regional aquifer. The model- and data-based approaches are an integration of environmental science, mathematics and statistics, and computer science. At the last of the presentation, I will discuss our research on study sinkhole lakes at Lake Miccosukee and Lake Jackson located in Tallahassee. *The two figures below are for illustrating the model- and data-based approaches. * -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: GFKetAk4mz0nNj3g.png Type: image/png Size: 116635 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: 7oeNrOK5EB4VLvJy.png Type: image/png Size: 752444 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Tue Jan 17 08:15:22 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Tue, 17 Jan 2023 13:15:22 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] EOAS DEI Committee meeting Message-ID: Dear All, The next meeting of the EOAS DEI Committee will be Weds, Jan 18th at noon: https://fsu.zoom.us/j/93971202449 All are welcome to attend. Thanks, Angie Knapp -- ************************************************ Angela Knapp (she/her) Associate Professor Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science Building, Room 5007 Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science Dept. Florida State University Shipping Address: Florida State University EOAS Dept., Room 2013, 1011 Academic Way Tallahassee, FL 32306-4520 Office: (850) 644-0259 anknapp at fsu.edu http://myweb.fsu.edu/anknapp/ --- I sometimes work irregular hours. Please do not feel obliged to reply to this email outside of your normal working hours. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Wed Jan 18 15:01:41 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Wed, 18 Jan 2023 20:01:41 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Ocean Hackathon - EMODnet Open Sea Lab 3.0 Message-ID: Dear FSU EOAS Staff, We?re contacting you on behalf of the EMODnet Open Sea Lab Project, kindly requesting your outreach support in promoting the Open Sea Lab 3.0 Hackathon, an event funded by the European Union as we believe your community has very good potential participants that can also benefit from the experience. Taking place on 27-28 March 2023, this exciting event will allow participants to live-test EMODnet?s data resources and services in the marine domain and to create and share innovative ideas for the development of useful ocean-related applications. You can find all the key details about this event on the Open Sea Lab 3.0 Hackathon website: https://opensealab.eu/ We would greatly appreciate your help in encouraging participation in the Hackathon by promoting the event within your network community (or even better directly participating in the hackathon with your team! ?) Young marine scientists, wider scientists, marine data experts, data scientists, and researchers, and blue economy institutions are among the key target audiences of the Hackathon. Following the event, selected participants from the three winning teams will be invited to European Maritime Day 2023 (held in Brest, France, on 24-25 May 2023) to showcase and present their winning solutions. If you?d like to help, please find here a basic communication kit with information and graphic resources (a promotional video, 3 banners, and a PDF presentation) that are ready to use for promotional purposes. Otherwise, you could reshare this EMODnet LinkedIn Post: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/emodnet_open-sea-lab-hackathon-activity-7016008052612956160-eOMt We kindly await your feedback. Have a great day! ? [https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/g-uEk5AhJRXEpatEpvbhMDKGy3icz0pRPZIDc6dizi6lPEPStVSgLqD7UMeEhjIV5FX8BvWJnSeQAaAngLSf_SsCEKzflH8dEQpi4F5z0prAU23-FDthvSwvgqOlP3KDIgSvmhiG=s0] Michele Erba Senior Project Manager [https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/aaHS1RRybTznKOVviJ7xbdQdVKyujlyalJvEtC9ajQPURtd0Jn02VTQq5131cFfpgZzallcfKnIZDg8_YUo_3D0X_QbHsqUMSXhFGeexSrerdwYDSNkK-QzSDbpc_utn90TCDhvw=s0] michele at kreativdistrikt.com https://www.linkedin.com/in/erbamichele -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Fri Jan 20 09:22:50 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Fri, 20 Jan 2023 09:22:50 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Reminder - TODAY - Fwd: EOAS Colloquium Friday Jan 20 at 3pm In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Please join us for this week's EOAS Colloquium speaker TODAY at 3pm in EOA 1050: *Model- and Data-Based Approaches for Identifying Controlling Processes of an Environmental System and my View of Environmental Data Science* ** Dr. Ming Ye (mye at fsu.edu ), Professor Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science and Department of Scientific Computing Florida State University An environmental system is open and complex, and its evolution in space and time involves a large number of natural and anthropogenic processes and their interactions. It is necessary to identify controlling processes and process interactions for advancing our understanding of the environmental system to support science-informed decision-making on environmental protection. This seminar presents both model- and data-based approaches that we have recently developed for identifying controlling processes. The model-based approaches use global sensitivity analyses, and have a unique feature of addressing uncertainty not only in process representations (i.e., process models) but also in process parameters (i.e., process model parameters). The approaches are designed to answer the following question: if we are not certain about process representations and process parameter values, can we identify important or influential processes for developing and improving environmental system models? The model-based approaches are always computational expensive, but can be applied to an environmental system with scarce data. The data-based approaches do not require developing process models, but use data to identify spatio-temporal patterns and the processes that control the patterns. This is achieved in our studies by using cluster analysis (one-way clustering and co-clustering) and /t/-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) methods. An example application will be presented for a dataset of 13,024 groundwater geochemical measurements for 11 geochemical parameters of 1,184 groundwater samples collected over 23 years from 29 monitoring in a regional aquifer. The model- and data-based approaches are an integration of environmental science, mathematics and statistics, and computer science. At the last of the presentation, I will discuss our research on study sinkhole lakes at Lake Miccosukee and Lake Jackson located in Tallahassee. *The two figures below are for illustrating the model- and data-based approaches. * -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: GFKetAk4mz0nNj3g.png Type: image/png Size: 116635 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: 7oeNrOK5EB4VLvJy.png Type: image/png Size: 752444 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ Eoas-seminar mailing list Eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu https://lists.fsu.edu/mailman/listinfo/eoas-seminar From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Sun Jan 22 12:55:16 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Sun, 22 Jan 2023 17:55:16 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] MET Seminar This Thursday Jan 26 - Dr. Erin Munsell (RMS) Message-ID: Dear all, Please join us this Thursday January 26 for our first Meteorology seminar of the semester, given by Dr. Erin Munsell. Dr. Munsell recently joined RMS HWind here in Tallahassee as a tropical cyclone modeler. She previously was an assistant research scientist at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/UMD ESSIC. She will speak about ?Examining the dynamics and structure of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones with high temporal frequency satellite observations? (abstract below). Dr. Munsell will be joining us IN PERSON. Please join us in EOA 1044 at 3 PM for refreshments prior to to the beginning of the talk at 3:15 PM. Graduate students are invited to join a student-only lunch with the speaker at 12:30 PM in EOA 6067. This is a great opportunity to meet the speaker in a casual setting - and have some free food :-) Please RSVP to Allison Wing (awing at fsu.edu) by the end of the day Wednesday so we know how much food to order. Dr. Munsell is also available for individual meetings on Thursday. If you?d like to meet with her, please contact Allison Wing (awing at fsu.edu). We look forward to seeing you all on Thursday! DATE: Thursday January 26 STUDENT LUNCH: 12:30 PM, EOA 6067 SEMINAR TIME: Refreshments at 3 PM, Talk 3:15 PM - 4:15 PM. SEMINAR LOCATION: EOA 1044 SPEAKER: Dr. Erin Munsell TITLE: Examining the dynamics and structure of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones with high temporal frequency satellite observations ABSTRACT: Over the past 10?15 years, considerable effort has been directed toward improving tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction. Despite this effort, the operational prediction of TC formation and significant changes in intensity, such as rapid intensification (RI), remain particularly challenging, as these events are typically less predictable due to being more significantly governed by rapidly-evolving moist convective processes that occur in the TC?s inner-core. However, more recently, considerable attention has been given to assess the ability of exploiting the high temporal frequency afforded by satellite observations of TCs to both potentially reduce the uncertainty of forecasts of TC RI through advanced data assimilation techniques, as well as to improve our understanding of the rapidly-evolving dynamical processes associated with these events. This study utilizes brightness temperatures (Tbs) captured by the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) on NOAA/NASA?s Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-16 (GOES-16) and synthetic 3-D temperature and moisture retrievals created for NASA?s upcoming Time-Resolved Observations of Precipitation structure and storm Intensity with a Constellation of Smallsats (TROPICS) Mission to examine both the inner-core structure and the environment of rapidly intensifying TCs at a high temporal frequency. GOES-16 Tbs from the infrared longwave window band (Ch 14; 11.2 um) are analyzed to examine the strength and location of the developing convection of Hurricanes Harvey (2017), Maria (2017), and Michael (2018) throughout their lifetimes. The evolutions of the TCs? coldest Tbs indicate that the inner-core convective activity began to increase in the 12 h prior to RI onset, primarily in 2?4-h substantial ?bursts?, while substantial convection dominated essentially the entirety of the region within 100 km of the surface center within 12 h of the onset of intensification. While certain information about a TC?s convective structure can be gleaned from the GOES-16 Tbs, they are still inherently limited by their inability to sense information below cloud tops. The upcoming TROPICS mission attempts to address this by utilizing CubeSats equipped with microwave radiometers to examine the three-dimensional thermodynamic structure of a TC at a high temporal frequency (median revisit rates of less than 1 h). In advance of the mission, synthetic retrievals of temperature and water vapor mixing ratio generated from the Hurricane Nature Run (HNR1; Nolan et al. 2013) are utilized to analyze the TC structure over a 10-day period that includes the HNR1 TC?s RI from a tropical storm to a major hurricane. Analyses are performed to assess how accurately TROPICS may be able to describe thermodynamic profiles both within the storm and in the environment by validating against the HNR1 model data. It is found that the TROPICS retrievals compare mostly favorably with the HNR1 data at most heights and times with errors consistently less than the proposed mission requirements (2 K for temperature; 25% for humidity). In addition, the retrievals show the ability to qualitatively track extensive dry air that is present in the vicinity of the TC. Although a substantial dry bias is present within the storm region of the TC (between 0 ? 200 km from the surface center) in the 350?550 mb layer in the TROPICS retrievals, this bias is reduced when the retrievals associated with precipitating grid points are removed from the analyses. However, despite this filtering, a significant bias remains, which suggests that the TROPICS retrievals will likely lose accuracy in regions of stronger scattering. -------------------------------------------- Allison A. Wing, Ph.D. Werner A. and Shirley B. Baum Professor Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science Florida State University awing at fsu.edu -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Mon Jan 23 09:25:57 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Mon, 23 Jan 2023 14:25:57 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] EOAS Colloquium Friday Jan 27 at 3pm Message-ID: Please join us for this week's EOAS Colloquium speaker Friday Jan 27 at 3pm in 1050: Title: Evolution of the core & paleomagnetosphere since 4 Ga: Modeling variations in dipole field strength and magnetic shielding on million-to-billion year timescales Speaker: Dr. Richard Bono, Assistant Professor, Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, FSU Abstract The geomagnetic field is a long-lived phenomenon that shields Earth's atmosphere from erosion by charged solar wind. Changes in atmospheric shielding may have had profound implications on the evolution of life. The geomagnetic field is generated in the liquid core through a convective process termed the geodynamo. Characterizations of how the paleomagnetic field changes on million-to-billion year timescales afford a unique opportunity for insights into core processes and conditions. Quantifying the strength of the magnetic field can be made through the collection of paleointensity estimates extracted from geologic materials. However, constructing a coherent timeline of the average dipole field is challenging, in part due to the sparsity of the paleointensity record. Here I discuss recent updates to the site-mean absolute paleointensity database PINT (www.pintdb.org; Bono et al., GJI, 2022) that includes records published through 2022. The PINT database is used to define a continuous paleomagnetic axial dipole moment model spanning 50 ka to ~4 Ga, MCADAM (Monte Carlo Axial Dipole Average Model; Bono et al., GRL, 2022). This model yields posterior predictions of axial dipole field strength and allows for estimation of the median field with associated confidence bounds. Using the MCADAM model, the paleomagnetospheric standoff distance can be estimated going back to the early Archean. Magnetic standoff evolution reveals that the strength of the magnetic atmospheric shield during the Precambrian was lower than the present day by about a factor of 2, reaching a protracted (~100 myr) minimum during the Ediacaran, before steadily climbing towards present day standoff distances. This suggests that for most of the Precambrian, atmospheric protections were weaker and perhaps more tenuous than during the Phanerozoic. Bio Richard Bono earned his undergraduate and graduate degrees at the University of Rochester, graduating in 2016, where he focused on using paleomagnetism gain insight into Earth's deep interior by measuring single oriented crystals. In 2018, he moved to the University of Liverpool, first as a member of the DEEP geomagnetism group and then as a Leverhulme early career fellow. There he worked to help bridge geodynamo simulations and paleomagnetic observations with an emphasis on deep time. Last year Richard joined the EOAS department here at FSU. [cid:image001.png at 01D92F0C.B18867C0] -- Ming Ye, Ph.D. Professor in Hydrogeology Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science Department of Scientific Computing Florida State University Tallahassee, FL 32306-4520 Office: 3015 EOAS Building (1011 Academic Way) Phone: 850-645-4987 Cell: 850-567-4488 Email: mye at fsu.edu http://earth.eoas.fsu.edu/~mye/ -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 556749 bytes Desc: image001.png URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Mon Jan 23 14:55:42 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Mon, 23 Jan 2023 19:55:42 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Reminder: COAPS didactics tomorrow (10 AM on Zoom) - Dr. Caroline Muller In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: ________________________________ From: Keshav Raja Sent: Thursday, January 12, 2023 11:00 To: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu ; JESfwd-fsu-sc-4th-floor <4th-floor at sc.fsu.edu> Subject: COAPS didactics - Dr. Caroline Muller Hello all, We are starting a new seminar series this year at COAPS! The goals of these didactic sessions are to get an overview on a topic, learn something new and start a discussion, in the hopes that these would lead to novel ideas and collaborations. For the month of January, Dr. Caroline Muller (Assistant Professor, Institute of Science and Technology Austria; CNRS researcher) will be speaking about Spontaneous Aggregation of Convective Storms. Time: Jan 24, 2023 10:00 AM EST Join from anywhere on Zoom: https://fsu.zoom.us/j/9206782375 Meeting ID: 920 678 2375 Spontaneous Aggregation of Convective Storms Dr. Caroline Muller Idealized simulations of the tropical atmosphere have predicted that clouds can spontaneously clump together in space, despite perfectly homogeneous settings. This phenomenon has been called self-aggregation, and it results in a state where a moist cloudy region with intense deep convective storms is surrounded by extremely dry subsiding air devoid of deep clouds. Here we review the main findings from theoretical work and idealized models of this phenomenon, highlighting the physical processes believed to play a key role in convective self-aggregation. We also review the growing literature on the importance and implications of this phenomenon for the tropical atmosphere, notably, for the hydrological cycle and for precipitation extremes, in our current and in a warming climate. Best, Keshav J Raja Assistant Research Scientist Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) Florida State University -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: coaps-didactics-Muller.ics Type: text/calendar Size: 2511 bytes Desc: coaps-didactics-Muller.ics URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Tue Jan 24 09:44:50 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Tue, 24 Jan 2023 14:44:50 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Fw: Reminder: COAPS didactics (10:15 AM on Zoom) - Dr. Caroline Muller In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Good morning all, This is a reminder for the COAPS didactics today. There will be a slight delay of 15 minutes requested by Dr. Caroline Muller. So we will begin at 10:15 AM and end at 11 AM. The talk will be recorded and uploaded to COAPS youtube channel. I'll share the link soon! ________________________________ From: Keshav Raja Sent: Thursday, January 12, 2023 11:00 To: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu ; JESfwd-fsu-sc-4th-floor <4th-floor at sc.fsu.edu> Subject: COAPS didactics - Dr. Caroline Muller Hello all, We are starting a new seminar series this year at COAPS! The goals of these didactic sessions are to get an overview on a topic, learn something new and start a discussion, in the hopes that these would lead to novel ideas and collaborations. For the month of January, Dr. Caroline Muller (Assistant Professor, Institute of Science and Technology Austria; CNRS researcher) will be speaking about Spontaneous Aggregation of Convective Storms. Time: Jan 24, 2023 10:15 AM EST Join from anywhere on Zoom: https://fsu.zoom.us/j/9206782375 Meeting ID: 920 678 2375 Spontaneous Aggregation of Convective Storms Dr. Caroline Muller Idealized simulations of the tropical atmosphere have predicted that clouds can spontaneously clump together in space, despite perfectly homogeneous settings. This phenomenon has been called self-aggregation, and it results in a state where a moist cloudy region with intense deep convective storms is surrounded by extremely dry subsiding air devoid of deep clouds. Here we review the main findings from theoretical work and idealized models of this phenomenon, highlighting the physical processes believed to play a key role in convective self-aggregation. We also review the growing literature on the importance and implications of this phenomenon for the tropical atmosphere, notably, for the hydrological cycle and for precipitation extremes, in our current and in a warming climate. Best, Keshav J Raja Assistant Research Scientist Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) Florida State University -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: coaps-didactics-Muller.ics Type: text/calendar Size: 2510 bytes Desc: coaps-didactics-Muller.ics URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Wed Jan 25 17:47:40 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Wed, 25 Jan 2023 17:47:40 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Seminar by Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli on Nonlinear wave interactions Message-ID: Colleagues, Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli? will be giving a seminar on "Nonlinear wave interactions in dispersive hydrodynamics: Applications to geophysical fluid dynamics" on Monday Jan. 30th in the COAPS seminar room. The zoom link for the talk is https://fsu.zoom.us/j/96792472590?pwd=NEY0blk2YUo1WXVxMmlnSWpZWjl5dz09 Short abstract: Abstract: Dispersive hydrodynamics, the study of nonlinear wave dynamics in dispersive (and fluid-like) media has garnered significant attention in the past decades and builds upon the seminal work of Gerald B. Whitham. Broadly speaking, dispersive hydrodynamic phenomena are characterized by reciprocal interactions between long (space and time) scale hydrodynamic and short-scale dispersive effects. In this talk, through the lens of Whitham modulation theory, we motivate the mathematical description of nonlinear wave interactions which could occur in a geophysical fluid dynamics context. Regards, Mark -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Wed Jan 25 21:56:14 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Thu, 26 Jan 2023 02:56:14 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] MET Seminar TODAY 3 PM - Dr. Erin Munsell (RMS) In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Hi everyone, Just a friendly reminder of our MET seminar this afternoon! Snacks at 3, talk at 3:15 on 1044. Cheers, Allison ________________________________ From: Eoas-seminar on behalf of eoas-seminar--- via Eoas-seminar Sent: Sunday, January 22, 2023 12:55:16 PM To: eoas-seminar--- via Eoas-seminar Subject: [Eoas-seminar] MET Seminar This Thursday Jan 26 - Dr. Erin Munsell (RMS) Dear all, Please join us this Thursday January 26 for our first Meteorology seminar of the semester, given by Dr. Erin Munsell. Dr. Munsell recently joined RMS HWind here in Tallahassee as a tropical cyclone modeler. She previously was an assistant research scientist at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/UMD ESSIC. She will speak about ?Examining the dynamics and structure of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones with high temporal frequency satellite observations? (abstract below). Dr. Munsell will be joining us IN PERSON. Please join us in EOA 1044 at 3 PM for refreshments prior to to the beginning of the talk at 3:15 PM. Graduate students are invited to join a student-only lunch with the speaker at 12:30 PM in EOA 6067. This is a great opportunity to meet the speaker in a casual setting - and have some free food :-) Please RSVP to Allison Wing (awing at fsu.edu) by the end of the day Wednesday so we know how much food to order. Dr. Munsell is also available for individual meetings on Thursday. If you?d like to meet with her, please contact Allison Wing (awing at fsu.edu). We look forward to seeing you all on Thursday! DATE: Thursday January 26 STUDENT LUNCH: 12:30 PM, EOA 6067 SEMINAR TIME: Refreshments at 3 PM, Talk 3:15 PM - 4:15 PM. SEMINAR LOCATION: EOA 1044 SPEAKER: Dr. Erin Munsell TITLE: Examining the dynamics and structure of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones with high temporal frequency satellite observations ABSTRACT: Over the past 10?15 years, considerable effort has been directed toward improving tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction. Despite this effort, the operational prediction of TC formation and significant changes in intensity, such as rapid intensification (RI), remain particularly challenging, as these events are typically less predictable due to being more significantly governed by rapidly-evolving moist convective processes that occur in the TC?s inner-core. However, more recently, considerable attention has been given to assess the ability of exploiting the high temporal frequency afforded by satellite observations of TCs to both potentially reduce the uncertainty of forecasts of TC RI through advanced data assimilation techniques, as well as to improve our understanding of the rapidly-evolving dynamical processes associated with these events. This study utilizes brightness temperatures (Tbs) captured by the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) on NOAA/NASA?s Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-16 (GOES-16) and synthetic 3-D temperature and moisture retrievals created for NASA?s upcoming Time-Resolved Observations of Precipitation structure and storm Intensity with a Constellation of Smallsats (TROPICS) Mission to examine both the inner-core structure and the environment of rapidly intensifying TCs at a high temporal frequency. GOES-16 Tbs from the infrared longwave window band (Ch 14; 11.2 um) are analyzed to examine the strength and location of the developing convection of Hurricanes Harvey (2017), Maria (2017), and Michael (2018) throughout their lifetimes. The evolutions of the TCs? coldest Tbs indicate that the inner-core convective activity began to increase in the 12 h prior to RI onset, primarily in 2?4-h substantial ?bursts?, while substantial convection dominated essentially the entirety of the region within 100 km of the surface center within 12 h of the onset of intensification. While certain information about a TC?s convective structure can be gleaned from the GOES-16 Tbs, they are still inherently limited by their inability to sense information below cloud tops. The upcoming TROPICS mission attempts to address this by utilizing CubeSats equipped with microwave radiometers to examine the three-dimensional thermodynamic structure of a TC at a high temporal frequency (median revisit rates of less than 1 h). In advance of the mission, synthetic retrievals of temperature and water vapor mixing ratio generated from the Hurricane Nature Run (HNR1; Nolan et al. 2013) are utilized to analyze the TC structure over a 10-day period that includes the HNR1 TC?s RI from a tropical storm to a major hurricane. Analyses are performed to assess how accurately TROPICS may be able to describe thermodynamic profiles both within the storm and in the environment by validating against the HNR1 model data. It is found that the TROPICS retrievals compare mostly favorably with the HNR1 data at most heights and times with errors consistently less than the proposed mission requirements (2 K for temperature; 25% for humidity). In addition, the retrievals show the ability to qualitatively track extensive dry air that is present in the vicinity of the TC. Although a substantial dry bias is present within the storm region of the TC (between 0 ? 200 km from the surface center) in the 350?550 mb layer in the TROPICS retrievals, this bias is reduced when the retrievals associated with precipitating grid points are removed from the analyses. However, despite this filtering, a significant bias remains, which suggests that the TROPICS retrievals will likely lose accuracy in regions of stronger scattering. -------------------------------------------- Allison A. Wing, Ph.D. Werner A. and Shirley B. Baum Professor Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science Florida State University awing at fsu.edu -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Thu Jan 26 10:33:21 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Thu, 26 Jan 2023 10:33:21 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Correction: Seminar by Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli on Nonlinear wave interactions on Jan. 31st Message-ID: Colleagues, Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli? will be giving a seminar on "Nonlinear wave interactions in dispersive hydrodynamics: Applications to geophysical fluid dynamics" on Monday Jan. 31st in the COAPS seminar room. The zoom link for the talk is https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://fsu.zoom.us/j/96792472590?pwd=NEY0blk2YUo1WXVxMmlnSWpZWjl5dz09__;!!PhOWcWs!x4tBrOgXYOOHy3yokHfRX7Qbr5a4sgF4iSPClESwssCC6SSH5691j7S_4maLyRIykigYri0wLh8vKAwGFgI6KbuTvjzljA$ Short abstract: Abstract: Dispersive hydrodynamics, the study of nonlinear wave dynamics in dispersive (and fluid-like) media has garnered significant attention in the past decades and builds upon the seminal work of Gerald B. Whitham. Broadly speaking, dispersive hydrodynamic phenomena are characterized by reciprocal interactions between long (space and time) scale hydrodynamic and short-scale dispersive effects. In this talk, through the lens of Whitham modulation theory, we motivate the mathematical description of nonlinear wave interactions which could occur in a geophysical fluid dynamics context. Regards, Mark -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ Eoas-seminar mailing list Eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu https://lists.fsu.edu/mailman/listinfo/eoas-seminar From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Thu Jan 26 10:58:58 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Thu, 26 Jan 2023 10:58:58 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Correction: Seminar by Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli on Nonlinear wave interactions on Jan. 31st In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: A further correction (thank you to those that pointed it out): The talk is on *Tuesday* Jan. 31st. Cheers, Mark On 1/26/2023 10:33 AM, eoas-seminar--- via Eoas-seminar wrote: > > Colleagues, > > Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli? will be giving a seminar on "Nonlinear > wave interactions in dispersive hydrodynamics: Applications to > geophysical fluid dynamics" on Monday Jan. 31st in the COAPS seminar > room. The zoom link for the talk is > > https://fsu.zoom.us/j/96792472590?pwd=NEY0blk2YUo1WXVxMmlnSWpZWjl5dz09 > > Short abstract: Abstract: Dispersive hydrodynamics, the study of > nonlinear wave dynamics in dispersive (and fluid-like) media has > garnered significant attention in the past decades and builds upon the > seminal work of Gerald B. Whitham. Broadly speaking, dispersive > hydrodynamic phenomena are characterized by reciprocal interactions > between long (space and time) scale hydrodynamic and short-scale > dispersive effects. In this talk, through the lens of Whitham > modulation theory, we motivate the mathematical description of > nonlinear wave interactions which could occur in a geophysical fluid > dynamics context. > > Regards, > Mark > > > > _______________________________________________ > Eoas-seminar mailing list > Eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu > https://lists.fsu.edu/mailman/listinfo/eoas-seminar -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Fri Jan 27 08:06:49 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Fri, 27 Jan 2023 13:06:49 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Reminder: EOAS Colloquium today (Jan 27) at 3pm In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Please join us for this week's EOAS Colloquium speaker Friday Jan 27 at 3pm in 1050: Title: Evolution of the core & paleomagnetosphere since 4 Ga: Modeling variations in dipole field strength and magnetic shielding on million-to-billion year timescales Speaker: Dr. Richard Bono, Assistant Professor, Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, FSU Abstract The geomagnetic field is a long-lived phenomenon that shields Earth's atmosphere from erosion by charged solar wind. Changes in atmospheric shielding may have had profound implications on the evolution of life. The geomagnetic field is generated in the liquid core through a convective process termed the geodynamo. Characterizations of how the paleomagnetic field changes on million-to-billion year timescales afford a unique opportunity for insights into core processes and conditions. Quantifying the strength of the magnetic field can be made through the collection of paleointensity estimates extracted from geologic materials. However, constructing a coherent timeline of the average dipole field is challenging, in part due to the sparsity of the paleointensity record. Here I discuss recent updates to the site-mean absolute paleointensity database PINT (www.pintdb.org; Bono et al., GJI, 2022) that includes records published through 2022. The PINT database is used to define a continuous paleomagnetic axial dipole moment model spanning 50 ka to ~4 Ga, MCADAM (Monte Carlo Axial Dipole Average Model; Bono et al., GRL, 2022). This model yields posterior predictions of axial dipole field strength and allows for estimation of the median field with associated confidence bounds. Using the MCADAM model, the paleomagnetospheric standoff distance can be estimated going back to the early Archean. Magnetic standoff evolution reveals that the strength of the magnetic atmospheric shield during the Precambrian was lower than the present day by about a factor of 2, reaching a protracted (~100 myr) minimum during the Ediacaran, before steadily climbing towards present day standoff distances. This suggests that for most of the Precambrian, atmospheric protections were weaker and perhaps more tenuous than during the Phanerozoic. Bio Richard Bono earned his undergraduate and graduate degrees at the University of Rochester, graduating in 2016, where he focused on using paleomagnetism gain insight into Earth's deep interior by measuring single oriented crystals. In 2018, he moved to the University of Liverpool, first as a member of the DEEP geomagnetism group and then as a Leverhulme early career fellow. There he worked to help bridge geodynamo simulations and paleomagnetic observations with an emphasis on deep time. Last year Richard joined the EOAS department here at FSU. Richard received the awards of 2022 EGU Earth Magnetism & Rock Physics Division Outstanding Early Career Scientist and 2022 (Inaugural) GSA Seth and Carol Stein Early Career Award in Geophysics and Geodynamics. [cid:image001.png at 01D92F0C.B18867C0] -- Ming Ye, Ph.D. Professor in Hydrogeology Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science Department of Scientific Computing Florida State University Tallahassee, FL 32306-4520 Office: 3015 EOAS Building (1011 Academic Way) Phone: 850-645-4987 Cell: 850-567-4488 Email: mye at fsu.edu http://earth.eoas.fsu.edu/~mye/ -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 556749 bytes Desc: image001.png URL: From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Mon Jan 30 09:25:23 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Mon, 30 Jan 2023 09:25:23 -0500 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] Tuesday 3:30 Seminar by Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli on Nonlinear wave interactions Message-ID: Colleagues, Sathyanarayanan Chandramouli? will be giving a seminar on "Nonlinear wave interactions in dispersive hydrodynamics: Applications to geophysical fluid dynamics" on Tuesday Jan. 31th at 3:30 in the COAPS seminar room. The zoom link for the talk is https://fsu.zoom.us/j/96792472590?pwd=NEY0blk2YUo1WXVxMmlnSWpZWjl5dz09 Short abstract: Abstract: Dispersive hydrodynamics, the study of nonlinear wave dynamics in dispersive (and fluid-like) media has garnered significant attention in the past decades and builds upon the seminal work of Gerald B. Whitham. Broadly speaking, dispersive hydrodynamic phenomena are characterized by reciprocal interactions between long (space and time) scale hydrodynamic and short-scale dispersive effects. In this talk, through the lens of Whitham modulation theory, we motivate the mathematical description of nonlinear wave interactions which could occur in a geophysical fluid dynamics context. Regards, Mark -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ Eoas-seminar mailing list Eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu https://lists.fsu.edu/mailman/listinfo/eoas-seminar From eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu Mon Jan 30 09:32:20 2023 From: eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu (eoas-seminar at lists.fsu.edu) Date: Mon, 30 Jan 2023 14:32:20 +0000 Subject: [Eoas-seminar] EOAS Colloquium on 2/3 at 3pm: online Message-ID: This week's EOAS Colloquium will be held online at 3pm on 2/3 (Friday). We will NOT use Room 1050 to avoid any potential technical problems, especially during the Q/A period. Title: Machine Learning In Earth System Modeling Speaker: Dr. Dan Lu, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN Abstract: Predictions of the Earth system have significant societal impacts, and they are one of the main goals of understanding the Earth system across scales. However, Earth system prediction is challenging. The observing system sees only part of the Earth, so the Earth system model is required to fill out the space, time, and spectral regions not covered by observations. Earth system models have substantially changed over time, from empirical model, to theoretical model, to computational model, and now are moving to data-driven machine learning (ML) model. This talk presents four ML methods to advance the Earth system modeling. Specifically, we developed a surrogate modeling technique and an inversion-free prediction framework to reduce computational costs in the physics-based Earth system model prediction, and developed an interpretable ML model with uncertainty quantification for trustworthy data-driven Earth system model prediction. The applications of these methods cover terrestrial ecosystem model, hydrological model, and geological carbon storage. Bio: Dan Lu is a staff scientist at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). She earned her Ph.D. in Computational Hydrology at Florida State University in 2012. Dan has broad research interests including: Machine Learning (ML), Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), and Numerical Simulations in Earth, Climate and Environment Sciences. Dan is co-leading the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Initiative, which is a $25 million project for 5 years, and is in the leadership team of Climate Change Science Institute at ORNL. She is the PI of a UQ for ML project, the PI of a Hydropower project, and the PI of a Geological Carbon Storage project. Dan authored about 60 publications and co-developed two software. She has been actively involved in AGU Groundwater Technical Committee, NeurIPS Climate Change AI Program Committee and organized several workshops on AI for Robust Engineering and Science. Dan is currently serving as an Associate Editor of the journal Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, an Associate Editor of the journal Frontiers in Water, and a Topic Editor of the journal Geoscientific Model Development. Her work has been recognized by several ORNL News and she obtained the Distinguished Scientific Achievement Award in ORNL last year. -- Ming Ye, Ph.D. Professor in Hydrogeology Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science Department of Scientific Computing Florida State University Tallahassee, FL 32306-4520 Office: 3015 EOAS Building (1011 Academic Way) Phone: 850-645-4987 Cell: 850-567-4488 Email: mye at fsu.edu http://earth.eoas.fsu.edu/~mye/ -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: